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Case Studies

D. Blicq dblicq@rrc.mb.ca  June 2006  (update 01/04/2010) DIRECTORY I BIO I NOTICE BOARD

Selected Case Studies of Infectious Disease

This section examines a few example infectious diseases that have received significant attention due to their virulence and / or mortality.

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SARS - severe acute respiratory syndrome

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HIV / AIDS - acquired immunodeficiency syndrome

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West Nile - encephalitis / meningitis

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Avian Influenza

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Ebola - hemorrhagic fever

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Mad Cow - Creutzfeldt-Jacob disease

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Marburg Virus - hemorrhagic fever

The section below provides a brief synopsis for each of the example infectious diseases involved in pandemic and other high-profile outbreak events that have occurred in recent years.

SARS

SARS  stands for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome. SARS is a highly infectious viral respiratory illness which can often be fatal, causing concern for the well-being of patient and practitioner alike. . First reported in Asia in 2003, SARS has since been determined to be  caused by a corona virus.  SARS caused significant losses of life in multiple countries and many millions of dollars of financial losses.

A few months following the first outbreak, the illness spread to many other countries including North and South America,  Europe and Asia. The fact that outbreaks could spread to countries across the world through air travel immediately brought a sense of exceptional urgency with travel restrictions and other preventative measures. The following chart lists global SARS cases occurring in that period.

The W.H.O. (World Health Organization) reported ~ 8,000 individuals contracted SARS during the 2003 outbreaks. Of these cases, there were 774 fatalities.

Transmission of SARS

SARS infection is transmitted through close personal contact - direct contact with body fluids / secretions, exhaled viral particles, etc.  This represents contact typically within  three feet or less and may involve physical contact. The possibility of transmission decreases with distance. Sneezing, coughing (and other respiratory outputs) launch active viral particles into the immediate air and accumulate on the patients lips, skin, clothing - all in the immediate vicinity. Physical contact with objects nearby can also transfer live virus onto furniture, clothing, etc. Exactly how long and far SARS can be transferred by airborne currents is not yet known.

Symptoms

bulletHigh fever (> 38.0 ºC)
bulletBody discomfort, headache
bulletVariable mild respiratory symptoms (early on)
bulletPossible diarrhea (minority of cases)
bulletDry cough (two days to one week)
bulletPneumonia develops in most patients

In 2003 Health Canada provided the following information on diagnosis and laboratory testing for SARS: http://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/sars-sras/pdf/SARS-CoV-lab-investigation-protocol_e.pdf

Health Canada also provided instructions for Quarantine Officers in an SARS outbreak:  http://www.phac-aspc.gc.ca/sars-sras/pdf/sars-icguidancequatineofficers-04-03_e.pdf

Treatment

Although there is no specific treatment for SARS a range of measures have been employed depending on the forms disease presentation. Accumulation of fluids in the lungs and depressed respiratory function  These include:

  1. Antibiotics - usually given early while there are general respiratory infection symptoms
  2. Antiviral Medications - Ribavrin - antiviral nucleoside blocks DNA / RNA replication
  3. Assisted Ventilation - breathing support as required
  4. Other - Tamiflu©,  protease inhibitors, interferons, immunoglobulin therapy

Current Prospects

There are no known SARS outbreaks currently. The last reported case was in 2004 in a laboratory accident in China involving mis-handling of the SARS corona virus.

HIV / AIDS

HIV refers to the Human Immunodeficiency Virus while AIDS refers to Acquired ImmunoDeficiency Syndrome. HIV / AIDS is transmitted through direct contact with bodily fluids (direct sexual contact, blood transfusion, infected needles) from an infected individual. A diagnosis of HIV and the resultant AIDS, is effectively a death sentence - there is no known cure. In some respects, AIDS has caused more  worldwide devastation than many other epidemic and  pandemic events. In some areas in Africa, for example, there has been nearly complete elimination of the adult parental population - leaving entire generations of children as orphans.

With the first recorded case reported in 1981, HIV is now estimated to have infected just under 40 million people worldwide and is considered a pandemic. It is estimated that 25 million individuals have died as a result of AIDS, ranking it as the top pandemic in recorded history. 

http://www.p.chiba-u.ac.jp/lab/bukka/map.png

The Disease

HIV is a retrovirus that directly affects the immune system, harming T Cells, macrophages and the other components of the immune system. When the immunological damage becomes extensive the patient is considered to have AIDS and a very poor prognosis. Diagnosis of the progression of the infection is determined through counts of CD4+ cells of the immune system.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/nol/shared/spl/hi/africa/03/biology_of_aids/img/early_stages_320.gif

Untreated, HIV will progress to AIDS in nine to ten years. AIDS is highly lethal - survival with AIDS is approximately nine months on average. There is however, exceptional variation between individuals with AIDS, with reported survival ranging from less than a month to over two decades.

It is not the human immunodeficiency virus which directly causes the mortality, rather it is secondary infections and tumors which develop as a consequence of the patient's severely compromised immune system.

Transmission

In addition  to transmission via direct sexual contact there are other mechanisms for HIV / AIDS infection:

bulletSexual contact
bulletBlood transfusions (rare in countries with screening programs)
bulletSharing of syringes / needles with an infected individual
bulletPre-birth infection from mother to fetus
bulletLaboratory accidental infection
bulletOther sources: semen, vaginal fluid, breast milk, saliva, and tears

It is important to observe that HIV has not made the jump to biting insects such as mosquitoes which could dramatically alter the incidence and distribution of the disease.

HIV /AIDS Stages

The W.H.O. (World Health Organization) has identified a series of stages representing the typical phases of HIV / AIDS. These include:

Stage 1.  No symptoms / asymptomatic, (not recognized as AIDS yet)

Stage 2.  Upper respiratory tract infections and other minor symptoms

Stage 3.  Chronic diarhea, severe bacterial infections and tuberculosis

Stage 4.  Bronchial, esophageal, tracheal disease indicating full AIDS

 

Current Prospects

Although there has been limited success with antiviral agents such as AZT, there is no known cure for AIDS.  It is reported, however, that there are cases of African prostitutes who have carried the HIV virus for years and have not developed AIDS itself. Individuals who possess a genetic variation (CCR5-Δ32) are able to resist infection from certain strains of HIV. Researchers have been intensely focused on examining their immune response and have been conducting intensive studies on their blood samples in the hopes of understanding the mechanism of their resistance. 

With respect to prevention, transmission of the HIV / AIDS virus can be blocked through the use of approved latex condoms during sex. Although no form of protection is 100 % effective there is a tremendous reduction in personal risk when condoms are employed. Other preventative measures have included needle programs have  reduced AIDS infections among intravenous drug users and educational programming on the proper use of condoms.

West Nile Virus

West Nile Virus (WNV) can infect a number of mammals including humans, birds and horses. West Nile virus was first diagnosed in 1937 in Uganda. A flavivirus, West Nile disease (WND) is transferred to humans via mosquitoes (culex species). Transfer between mosquito and avian populations has allowed for significant distribution of the virus. Prevalent in Africa, the Middle East as well as western Asia,  West Nile virus has been observed in North America from 1999 and in Canada from 2001.

The CDC (Center for Disease Control) in Atlanta reports the following incidences of diagnosed West Nile Virus in the U.S:

http://www.livescience.com/images/050606_west_nile_cases_03.gif

West Nile virus can cause severe meningitis  or encephalitis (swelling of the brain and  / or spinal cord).

Transmission 

The primary reservoir for the virus is bird and mosquito populations. Crows are particularly sensitive to the West Nile Virus.  Humans become infected when they are bitten by a mosquito that has previously fed from an infected bird. Actual chances of infection are relatively low. Even better news is that the severity of the disease is usually fairly low - less than one per cent of those infected will become seriously ill (often those who are in some way immuno-compromised, such as the very young or elderly). Of those who are exposed, approximately 20% will develop a fever. Symptoms include: headache, fever, aches, swollen lymph glands appearing in 3-12 days after infection. West Nile Encephalitis is a far more serious form of the disease with symptoms including a sore neck, stiffness, fever, muscle weakness, etc. This type of encephalitis may have permanent neurological affects.

Manitoba, Canada has experienced a sharp spike in the number of reported cases in 2007, reaching into several fatalities and numerous patients testing positive.

Avian Influenza (Bird Flu)

Avian influenza is caused by viruses found in bird secretions including feces and saliva. There are both low and high pathogenic forms and three general groups of avian flu. These include:

Influenza A H5

bulletHigh or low pathogenicity
bulletH5 infections can cause severe illness and death

Influenza A H7

bulletHigh or low pathogenicity
bulletRare in humans - occurs when there is direct contact with infected birds
bulletSymptoms may upper respiratory infection and / or conjunctivitis 

Influenza A H9

bulletLow pathogenic form (currently)
bulletThree H9 infections confirmed in humans

The virus can be carried by wild bird populations who do not become ill.   Domestic birds can become infected y direct contact infected wild populations or food / water which has been exposed to the virus. In birds the low pathogenic form is often undetected. The high pathogenic form however, has a lethality of 90-100 % often in less than a two day period.

Transmission

Transmission to humans is largely from infected birds or their feces or cages and usually involves the "A" influenza subtype. Horizontal transmission between humans quite rare - the majority of cases of avian influenza  in humans have been caused by contact with infected poultry (domesticated chicken, turkeys etc.).

Symptoms of avian influenza in humans have ranged from typical human influenza-like symptoms (e.g., fever, cough, sore throat, and muscle aches) to acute respiratory distress. The symptoms of avian influenza may depend on which virus caused the infection.

Avian influenza A H5N1 has caused the greatest number of human mortalities. There has been approximately 50% mortality for those infected in recent outbreaks in Europe and Asia.  Since avian viruses do not normally affect people, humans have very little immune response to this type of infection.  Should the virus mutate such that person-to-person infection becomes possible the potential pandemic would be highly significant.  Currently, there is no commercially available vaccine to protect humans against the avian H5N1 virus. The World Health Organization reports 227cases of human avian flu with 129 deaths.

One of the ways propagation of this disease is being reduced is the ban of infected bird and poultry products. This type of ban restricts import of birds or bird products (including eggs) either dead or alive.

Ebola

Ebola virus was first reported in the Congo in 1976. The causative agent of hemorrhagic fever, Ebola virus causes often-fatal infection in various primates including humans.  Ebola hemorrhagic fever is caused by a Filoviridae RNA virus belonging to one of three species: Ebola Zaire, Ebola Sudan and Ebola Reston. Mortality from Ebola hemorrhagic fever ranges from approximately 50 - 87%. 

In the fall 2007 there has been a significant outbreak on Africa: "

"For the past four weeks the number of dead in the districts of Kelle and Mbomo has continued to climb daily, as the Ministry of Health and World Health Organisation have struggled to contain what they suspected was an outbreak of Ebola. Confirmation came late last night, after blood samples from residents of Kelle were analysed in a Libreville laboratory, one of fewer than 10 in the world able to test for Ebola." (source: bbc news 2007)

Transmission

The Ebola virus is zoonotic (animal-based) and is normally found maintained in an animal hosts in a number of regions of Africa. Incidences of the EHF (Ebola Hemorrhagic Fever) have been reported in a number of African nations including:

bulletCongo
bulletGabon
bulletIvory Coast
bulletSudan
bulletUganda

It is suspected that individuals become infected through contact with a diseased primate / animal, either directly or through contact with infected saliva or feces. Secondary infections to those providing aid to an infected person can also occur with the virus traveling through and decimating whole families.

WHO History of Ebola Outbreaks

Year Country Virus subtype1 Cases Deaths Case fatality
1976 Sudan Ebola-Sudan 284 151 53%
1976 Zaire (DRC) Ebola-Zaire 318 280 88%
1977 Zaire (DRC) Ebola-Zaire 1 1 100%
1979 Sudan Ebola-Sudan 34 22 65%
1994 Gabon Ebola-Zaire 52 31 60%
1994 Côte d’Ivoire Ebola-Côte d’Ivoire 1 0   0%
1995 Liberia Ebola-Côte d’Ivoire 1 0   0%
1995 Democratic Republic of Congo (formerly Zaire) Ebola-Zaire 315 250 81%
1996 (Jan - April) Gabon Ebola-Zaire 37 21 57%
1996 - 1997 (July - Jan) Gabon Ebola-Zaire 60 45 74%
1996 South Africa Ebola-Zaire 12 1 100%
2000 - 2001 Uganda Ebola-Sudan 425 224 53%
2001 - 2002 (Oct 2001 - March 2002) Gabon Ebola-Zaire 65 53 82%
2001 - 2002 (Oct 2001 - March 2002) Republic of Congo Ebola-Zaire 59 44 75%
2002 - 2003 (Dec 2002 - April 2003) Republic of Congo Ebola-Zaire 143 128 89%
2003 (Nov - Dec) Republic of Congo Ebola-Zaire 35 29 83%
2004 Sudan Ebola-Sudan 17 7 41%
2004 Sudan   20 5 25%
2005 (25 April to 16 June) Republic of Congo   12 9 75%
Total     1880 1301  

http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs103/en/index1.html

The incubation period for Ebola hemorrhagic fever can range from two days to three weeks, although the actual illness itself is both acute as well as rapid. Symptoms include fever, sore muscles and aches, headaches, vomiting, red eyes and rashes. It is not yet clear why some individuals succumb while others recovery from Ebola hemorrhagic fever, although those whose immune system is actively resisting the infection appear to fair better.

http://webs.wichita.edu/mschneegurt/biol103/lecture17/Ebola_patient.jpg

Treatments for Ebola hemorrhagic fever are based on alleviating symptoms such as maintaining respiratory function as well as electrolyte balance through administration of fluids. Since  the natural reservoir of Ebola virus is unclear it is difficult to design effective preventative measures. Research is continuing.

Mad Cow /  BSE  (bovine spongiform encephalitis)

Creutzfeldt-Jacob disease (CJD) is a severe prion-based infectious disease acquired through the ingestion of infected meat. The parallel condition in cows, bovine spongiform encephalitis (BSE), is a slow but  progressive brain disease. The first cases of BSE likely commenced in the 1970-s - 1980's.

The source of the condition was likely the result of making cattle feed from diseased sheep meat infected with scapies. In Britain, the continued use of rendered meat and bone products to feed livestock probably spread the condition considerably. By 2005 approximately 185,000 cases of BSE had been reported in British cattle.

Epidemiological studies strongly indicate that the ingestion of BSE-infected meat (cooked or raw) is the probable causative agent of Creutzfeldt-Jacob Disease in humans. The discovery that the prion believed responsible for CJD was thermally stable and able to withstand cooking temperatures while remaining highly infectious was of critical importance. Prior to this outbreak, it was believed that cooking would eliminate all pathogens from foodstuffs.

http://www.nlm.nih.gov/medlineplus/ency/images/ency/fullsize/17146.jpg

CJD in Humans

Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease is a rare but fatal brain disorder. The condition is degenerative (continually worsens) and doesn't typically present symptoms until age 60. Survival is usually less than one year. The only positive confirmation of CJD is via brain biopsy since many of the symptoms are difficult to distinguish from other forms of dementia. There is no treatment for this condition, thus most of the focus is on prevention through elimination of  the causative Bovine  Spongiform Encephalitis.

BSE Control Measures

Control of CJD is mediated through elimination of BSE-infected meats. These control measures include:

bulletSurveillance of bovine health
bulletElimination of sick animals
bulletBanning of cow components subject to infection
bulletBan on cows older than 30 months (no exposure to BSE in feeds)

A highly effective program in Britain has eliminated all animals older than 30 months from being used as a source of food for humans or other animals.

Marburg Virus

Marburg virus, the causative agent of Marburg Hemorrhagic Fever (MHF) is a Filoviridae RNA virus  closely related to the Ebola species. Marburg virus causes a very severe but rare hemorrhagic fever which affects humans and other primates. The virus was first discovered in 1967 when 32 people in a number of research laboratories became infected by research monkeys imported from Uganda.

Transmission

Following an incubation period of five to ten days there is an acute onset of symptoms. Many of these symptoms are similar to related infectious diseases: fever, headache, chills, rash, nausea, vomiting, abdominal pain, diarrhea, etc.   Typically five days following the onset of symptoms conditions tend to become significantly worse: delirium, jaundice, liver failure and failure of multiple internal organs may lead to death. Severe hemorrhaging is common at this stage, resulting in significant blood loss and death from a loss of blood pressure. Mortality can range from 25 to 100% but there may be  significant recurrent consequences for the survivor including hepatitis, myelitis and other long-term complications.

Marburg virus  has been found in Kenya, Uganda and is suspected in Zimbabwe. The mechanism of transmission from host to human is unclear, but the infection is highly contagious and easily transferred to care-givers who come into direct contact with bodily fluids, secretions or airborne droplets.

Treatments are case-specific and focused on responding to specific symptoms. Therapies include maintaining the patient's electrolytes, respiratory function and blood pressure. The capability of the Marburg virus to infect hospital staff and other care-givers mean considerable precautions are necessary to avoid transmission.

Responding to Epidemic and Pandemic Events

Overall the World Health Organization has a structured plan for identifying and responding to epidemic and pandemic events worldwide:

WHO - World Health Organization Pandemic Preparedness Plan:

http://www.who.int/csr/resources/publications/influenza/GIP_2005_5Eweb.pdf

In addition to the human-engineered response to pandemic events there can also be a natural attenuation of infectious diseases:

Too Deadly to Live - Pathogen "Burnout"

With so many infectious agents in the world it seems only a matter of time before a major pandemic affects the human race. Ironically, however, some of the most virulent infectious agents may be victims of their own success.

The ability to mutate quickly into more virulent forms may seem an asset fro any infectious pathogen, but there is an epidemiological limitation.

Infectious agents that are exceptionally successful can "burnout" - that is kill off hosts so rapidly and effectively that transmission and spread of the disease becomes limited.  In this case the greatest potential for pandemics may come from infectious agents that are slower to display symptoms and clinical conditions.

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